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John Burr Williams, the father of value investing, analyzed stocks by assuming that investors would hold stocks not 30 years, but forever. Following Williams’s lead, Berkshire Hathaway’s BRK.A, -0.71% BRK.B, -0.38% Warren Buffett has famously declared that, “My favorite holding period is forever.” Concentrate on dividends, earnings, free cash flow, and other measures of the cash generated by companies. Williams and Buffett never literally planned on holding stocks forever. And we don’t have to hold stocks 30 or more years to be value investors. Their intention was to help us focus on what really matters — the cash that companies generate. If we assume — no matter how unrealistic it is — that we will never sell our stocks, then we won’t try to predict zigs and zags in stock prices. We will concentrate on dividends, earnings, free cash flow, and other measures of the cash generated by companies. We will think of stocks as money machines, instead of slot machines. We will buy stocks because the prices are reasonable relative to the corporate cash flow, not because we expect stock prices to go up next week, next month, or next year.
For the original version including any supplementary images or video, visit https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-winning-investors-know-that-stocks-are-money-machines-not-slot-machines-2018-06-04